Intro

"We don't see things as they are. We see them as we are."


Anais Nin (American Author, 1903-1977)


To most phenomena, there is more than one side, and viewing things through somebody else's eyes is something I always found refreshing and also a good way of getting to know someone a little better, as in - what makes them tick?

With this in mind I have started writing this blog. I hope my musings are interesting and relevant - and on a good day entertaining.

All views expressed are of course entirely mine – the stranger the more so.

As to the title of the blog, quite a few years ago, I had an American boss who had the habit of walking into my office and saying, "Axel, I've been thinkin'" - at which point I knew I should brace myself for some crazy new idea which then more often than not actually turned out to be well worth reflecting on.

Of course, I would love to hear from you. George S. Patton, the equally American WW2 general once said: "If everyone is thinking alike, then somebody is not thinking."

So please feel free to tell me what you think.

Enjoy the read!

Axel

Wednesday, January 15, 2020

The Teens in Threes


"Hello, Goodbye".



What a great Beatles song. And while of course, like any self-respecting pop tune worth its mettle, it's about a romantic relationship, in a nutshell, its title encapsulates our lives. 

That's two "its" and one "it's" in one sentence, and I got them all right - it's not rocket science! There you are. If others disagree, they're entitled to their own opinion, but no more. Couldn't resist.

Hello, Goodbye. You arrive somewhere, you depart eventually, and in-between, you live adventures. Realising any self-respecting adventure of course by definition can't be organised.

"Life is what happens to you while you are busy making other plans." (John Lennon)

Or in other words, equally immortal:
Hotelcalifornia.jpg

"Relax, said the night man,
We are programmed to receive.
You can check out anytime you like
But you can never leave."

Eagles, "Hotel California", Hotel California (1977)




And then, every ten years, we get to say "hello" to a new decade and bid "goodbye" to another one completed.

Well, actually, it's appropriate first to say "goodbye", as I do think we owe it to ourselves to reflect on those ten by-gone years, not least because they also made up a substantial part of our own microcosmic lives - and the older I am the more significant it becomes.

So no "ghosting". I am a historian after all.

And speaking of which: This eponymous novel is a great read, published in 2010, especially if you're into all things Carpathian. 



But I digress. In the field of saying "goodbye", we have of course known for a while there are "Fifty Ways to Leave Your Lover" (Paul Simon, 1975). But how do you move on from a whole decade that may, along with other things, for many of you have well included more than one romantic relationship?

Just for myself, I have decided I will attempt here a thoughtful (yet humorous) farewell to these past ten years, selecting some highlights (and lowlights) that stand out to me, very subjectively. If you're up for it, I hope you will find my musings interesting, relevant, and - ideally - even entertaining. If at the end you are moved to embarking on your own personal reflections along similar lines, I will consider my effort a success.

So here's my farewell to the ten years gone by. A Look Back In Anger? You decide for yourselves. 

I saw a very interesting movie about half way through this past decade - Arrival (2016). Directed by Denis Villeneuve, it stars Amy Adams, Jeremy Renner, and Forest Whitaker. It won an Oscar in February 2017 for Best Achievement in Sound Editing. It was also nominated for Best Motion Picture of the Year, losing to Moonlight.

Do you still remember that incredibly embarrassing moment when Warren Beatty and Faye Dunaway were handed the wrong envelopes and pronounced La La Land as Best Picture instead? Not a great day for PricewaterhouseCoopers, nor for the two ageing stars who were given the honor of presenting the winner in this most important of all categories in celebration of the 50th anniversary of their own great film, Bonnie and Clyde

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Image result for warren beatty and faye dunaway


"Envelopegate" must have been a truly remarkable screw-up of memorable dimensions if we still recall it years later. And as if there wasn't enough other stuff that happened over those now elapsed ten years.

Well, there was plenty. So here are two more anecdotes to complete my personal list of The Top Three Most Unfortunate Gaffes Performed In Public During The Past Decade (By Somebody Who Should Know Better). If you stay with me, you will find this is the first, most light-hearted, funny, and inconsequential of my three Top Three lists these ramblings will propose for the period of 2010 through 2019.

Another winner:

Image result for pictures president xi
During a state visit by the leader of China to India in September 2014, a poor news reader at the state-run TV station Doordashan News referred to the guest as "President Eleven Jinping", mistaking Mr. Xi's name for the Roman numerals XI.

The unfortunate presenter was instantly removed from the panel of newsreaders. A commentator with more sense of humour than her bosses quipped: "Fired? She deserves her own show!" And we do hope she has meanwhile gone on to a successful career in comedy. 
Robert De Niro in Taxi Driver (1976)
Coming briefly back to The Oscars, I'm rooting this year for The Irishman, regardless of who won the Golden Globes. Declaration of interest: Ever since their first film together, Director Martin Scorsese and actor Robert de Niro have accompanied me through the decades of my adult movie-going life. It was of course Taxi Driver (1976). Unbelievably, it didn't win a single Oscar, while nominated for four. Go figure. Best picture voted instead that year: Rocky. - And how about not nominating Robert de Niro for Best Lead Actor this year?

And my third winner is.... a very recent public gaffe.

On 7 September 2019, France hosted Albania (flag right) at the Stade de France in a qualifier for the 2020 European Championships. As the two teams lined up before the game for the national anthems, the visiting players, officials, and supporters were surprised, and definitely not amused, to hear a catchy piece of music altogether alien to them - the loudspeakers were blasting out the anthem of Andorra (flag left). After a few minutes of embarrassing confusion, the right tune was eventually played, but to add insult to injury, the well-meaning stadium announcer introduced it with an apology "to the Armenian fans" and asked everybody to respect "the national anthem of Armenia". 

Quelle catastrophe!

Flag of Andorra.svgFlag of Albania.svg



So, having meandered as I will, Arrival tells the story of twelve extraterrestrial spacecraft landing simultaneously in different locations around the globe and how a linguistics professor (Ms Adams) is tasked with interpreting the language of the visitors, thereby facilitating communication with them. Watch it - well worth one hour and 56 minutes of your time.


One of my key mantras is this: Communication is not what you send out. Communication is what is received.



And while I have never even (so far) had to try talking to aliens, I have indeed had to interact professionally with individuals who might just as well have been from a different galaxy.

Plus, of course, I have been married for a very long time...

Exasperated wife to stonewalling husband: "But I told you!" Stonewalling husband to exasperated wife: "Well, maybe you did, but that's not what I understood."

Communication is not what you send out. Communication is what is received. 

Both verbal and physical. The latter element is much underestimated, by the way, as psychologists will tell you. In fact, I recently found in a study that the content of spoken messages makes up only 7% of their impact. 38% depend on voice and speaking technique, while a whopping 55% are derived from body language. Other researchers may arrive at other numbers, but they all confirm the same principle: Posture, mimics, and gestures speak far more than words.
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Do you remember this picture from July 2017? The gentlemen on the right were trying to display plucky English "bloody mindedness": I say, Chaps, we've got this! What people took away was the image of three woefully unprepared fools who had no idea where to start, who they were dealing with, and what was about to hit them.

The body language, front right...

The delegation leader, at the center, has long since "moved on", and I will let every reader form their personal assessment of the eventual outcome of this particular mission.

Perception is Reality.

Which now obliges me to present two more body language nominations, thereby completing the winners' list in the second category I have created, The Top Three Most Unfortunate Postures Displayed In Public During The Past Decade (By Somebody Who Should Know Better). Please do play along and make your own selection.

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Number Two: This unfortunate incident happened on 15 October 2015. At the time Mayor of London, Alexander Boris de Pfeffel Johnson who prefers to go by his second Christian name, bulldozed an eleven-year-old Japanese kid during an impromptu rugby game at a school on what was probably intended as a goodwill visit.

What does the picture tell us? Let me give you my own take in a nutshell:

Mr Johnson views life a game, he feels entitled to make up his own rules that do not include the concept of fair play, and you stand in the way of his naked, boundless ambition at your own peril.


And here is my Number Three, in no particular order or ranking:

Image result for photos of trump with kim jong un

The fawning way the current Resident at The White House looks at this pathetic, corrupt, murderous dictator from the side makes you wonder about pretty much everything, all the more so as we rest of the world know the current POTUS is consistently being led up the garden path by this unsavoury character. It's bromance, we are told by apologists.

A few days ago, Trump sent his happy birthday wishes to Kim Yong Un on 10 January. For he's a jolly good fellow? Bromance! 

To me this one picture from 20 June 2019 sums up Number 45 and why he must leave the office asap. The Leader of the Free World? 

Which unofficial title, looking back on the "Teens" of the 21st Century (and then some), brings me to another gesture that encapsulates the person involved:

Angela Merkel has been German Chancellor for more than fourteen years, having acceded to the office on 22 November 2005. In her tenure, she has dealt with, in a random order, French Presidents Jacques Chirac, Nicolas Sarkozy, François Hollande, and Emmanuel Macron; British Prime Ministers Tony Blair, Gordon Brown, David Cameron, Theresa May, and Boris Johnson; Italian Prime Ministers Silvio Berlusconi, Romano Prodi, Silvio Berlusconi again, Mario Monti, Enrico Letta, Matteo Renzi, Paolo Gentiloni, and Giuseppe Conte; U.S. Presidents George W. Bush, Barack Obama, and Donald Trump; Russian Presidents Vladimir Putin, Dmitrij Medvedev, and again Vladimir Putin; and China's Presidents Hu Jintao and Xi Jinping.

She must have done something right to be voted in democratically four times, and this now world-famous gesture of hers sums up Angela Merkel for me: thoughtful, deliberate, and unassuming. Oh, and did I mention she holds a PhD in Physics. The kind of person you want to be in charge, especially when the wheels go off in so many other parts of the world as they have over the past ten years or so.

While a lot of commentators declare Dr. Merkel in the twilight of her career (she has announced she will not run again in the next elections scheduled for September 2021, making her a "lame duck" in the eyes of many), rest assured she will be sorely missed. And I have a hunch she may take on another, this time international role after leaving the Chancellory, perhaps in the context of Climate Change policy. But that's really just me musing - and wishing.

Finally coming back to Ms Adams' aliens, they arrive and ultimately depart - and the film is about the adventures in-between, mostly to do with communication or the lack thereof. No spoilers, in case you haven't seen it yet!

Statistically, in all likelihood we can safely assume they will have traveled widely across the Universe, been elsewhere, and found it as rewarding when they stayed for a while on other planets as they did on Earth.

In other words, we must consider them Citizens of the World.

Image result for illustration global citizens

This is just too cute not to include here, I hope you agree.

Within more modest, purely terrestrial confines of course, given the life I have been privileged to lead so far, I proudly consider myself a Citizen of the World too. And so are our three children, grown-ups now, and currently living in three different foreign countries they are "making their own" [sic!] - working hard, contributing to GDP, paying taxes, observing the laws of the land, making friends, and never once "jumping the queue at the NHS" [sic!]. And this quote is symbolic - none of them resides in the UK.

All of which I hope serves to explain why I took such personal offence, living in that country at the time, with what Theresa May infamously said in her widely publicised Conservative Party Conference speech over three years ago on 5 October 2016, feeding flesh to the hounds: 

Theresa May delivers her keynote speech
"If you believe you're a citizen of the world, you're a citizen of nowhere. You don't understand what the very word 'citizenship' means."

A statement so asinine that for it she should really get a full screen picture... But no, that would be unfair to the next two luminaries I will shortly recognise.

Because, as you will no doubt have guessed, this unfortunate quote brings us elegantly to the last contest, the verbal content category, as it will to me always be in The Top Three Most Stupid Things Said In Public During The Past Decade (By Somebody Who Should Know Better).

Or maybe she really didn't or even still doesn't know, in which case I should maybe consider redefining the category by dropping the qualifier within brackets. But Top Three it still remains regardless, and that's quite a feat considering the myriad of competitors - maybe even more crowded a field than in the two previous competitions.

For clarification: The likes of Donald Trump, Boris Johnson, and Recep Tayyip Erdogan, enter Stage Right, are not in the running - whatever they say can't be taken at face value anyway. Likewise, don't bank on anything Jair Bolsonaro, Viktor Orban, or Matteo Salvini will ever tell you. And the list goes on.

Our joint serious problem being that they seem to have been proliferating in the past ten years.

These then are the short-list legitimate candidates for the other two spots - digging deep, in chronological order, and in my humble opinion only:


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"I'd like my life back."

BP CEO Tony "How not to say sorry" Hayward at the height of the Freshwater Horizon oil spill disaster in the Gulf of Mexico 
(1 June 2010)




Christian Wulff Cropped.jpg"I don't want to be President in a       country where you can't borrow money from friends."

Christian Wulff, President of the Federal Republic of Germany when faced with allegations of corruption dating back to his prior tenure as Minister-President (Prime Minister) of Lower Saxony (4 January 2012)


In case you are now wondering whatever happened to Tony and Chris: Shortly after their unfortunate remarks, Hayward was fired and Wulff had to resign.

And Theresa May? She is the odd one out as her infamous remark did not in any way cause her downfall - to the contrary, it made her look much stronger than she was, for a while that is.

We all know how things nonetheless eventually went south for her, now safely filed away in the footnotes of History. Theresa Who? Maybe, as a parting gesture and to show I don't bear a grudge, I should have dedicated a full-screen picture to her after all....

You see, I do believe at least she meant well within her own limited world view, personality, and capabilities. Authentic you could call it. Which is much more than can be said about other politicians so much en vogue currently.

But let's not let her off the hook so quickly. After all, by endorsing and promoting that narrow nationalistic sentiment suddenly becoming so openly popular in (Little) England back then, ultimately, three long and hard years later, she ushered in her successor as the new Occupant to Number 10, Downing Street. The man who is not just the nemesis of innocent (foreign) eleven-year-old rugby playing boys, but also The True Champion of The English People if ever there was one.

Well, at least since the glorious days of World War Two of course. Have you noticed how he affects the Churchillian stoop in his posture? Consciously displayed body language at its best!




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Like this hero of the day, any effective Populist manages to market that (false) Champion-of-the-People image to a sufficient number of voters to bring him into power: "I understand you. I feel with you. I am on your side. And on your behalf, I will rid you of all those that stand in your way and prevent you from fulfilling your true potential and getting your just deserves." The Oxford English Dictionary defines Populism as "a political approach that strives to appeal to ordinary people who feel that their concerns are disregarded by established elite groups."

By the Experts, the Deep State, the Liberal Fake News, the European Union, the Remainers, the Enemies of the People.

And those grudges held by large sections of the electorate are deeply held, painfully felt, and built up over time. Populism appeals to "those whose experience of modernity was bound up with loss and hardship, and who proved to be open to a politics of nostalgia and score-settling. The point is to make America great again, and to take back control". (John Harris, The Guardian, 26 November 2019).

No doubt quite a lot of things must have gone wrong for quite a lot of people over quite a long time.

Many factors contribute to the current success of this type of politician. Not least, they hugely benefit from majoritarian election systems.

Think of it like how scoring is done in tennis.

Image result for pictures tennis

You can win the majority of points played, but you may well still lose the match. As you can win the "popular vote" in an election, but still not end up in power.

Of course, as long as everyone accepts the scoring system, including you yourself having entered into the competition knowing the rules of the game, you are a sore loser if you whine about the majority of points or votes you won but still lost overall, as did Hillary Clinton in 2016. She wasn't a first by the way - in fact, in five presidential elections the winner of the popular vote did not end up in the White House.

Clinton had three million more votes than Trump. She also came within about 77,000 votes in three States - Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania - of prevailing in the Electorate College. If only she had just once set her foot in any of these States during the long presidential election campaign... 

And in the 2019 elections in the UK, a mere 1.2% gain of the popular vote resulted in a landslide victory for the Conservatives while by a margin of more than one million, more British voters backed parties calling for a second referendum than supported those arguing for withdrawal without a confirmatory vote.

The fact simply is, however, that both the American and British electorate seem to be happy with their system and like the way tennis is scored. Game, set, and match!

And anyway, as the English would say: it's not cricket!

So much for the quotes remembered from ten years for all the wrong reasons. But ever the optimist, and realising I've become overly serious at this point, I will close on a positive note, as I did for the regrettable postures section. 

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So finally, here's one gem of a "bumper sticker" Joe Biden quip from the Presidential election campaign in 2012. When asked why Barack Obama should be returned to office, his Veep formulated the shortest, most concise, and therefore memorable election platform ever: 

"Osama Bin Laden is dead, and General Motors is alive."

I love Biden and wish only he was younger. Still, I have a hunch he's the only one that can make Trump a one-term aberration. You see, voters in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania like him.

But then, what do I know.

After all: "It's difficult to make predictions, especially about the future."

One of my favourite quotes from long-ago decades, attributed to very different sources: to the Danish mathematician Niels Bohr and to Yogi Berra, that bottomless fount of American wisdom. Great minds think alike! 

And now so much for the "goodbye" part you will be relieved to read at this point (assuming you still are reading of course).

Except for one afterthought: While technically the years between 2010 through 2019 were "The Teens" or "The Teenage Years", I don't really recall anyone much calling them that way. It's almost always "The 2010s" (that's right, no apostrophe). What does this tell us about them - if anything? Was that decade simply "Teenage Wasteland" (refrain from The Who, "Baba O'Riley", Who's Next, 1971)?

Discuss. Only half-seriously though.

So let us now greet "The Twenties". And each other on this threshold:

Image result for winston churchill pictures

"It is fun to be in the same decade with you." 
Franklin D. Roosevelt to Winston Churchill (January 1942)

I don't know how you feel, but it definitely does have a ring to it, "The Twenties". Just that I find it hard to associate the term with the coming ten years of this century. Instead, I always think of the 1920s. 

The Roaring Twenties. The Jazz Age. The Era of Excess.

Image result for the roaring twenties


"Too much of a good thing can be wonderful." Mae West (1893 - 1980)


Mae West LAT.jpgAnd she knew what she was talking about. Her first success as an actress on Broadway was in the starring role of the play Sex in 1926 which she also wrote, directed, and produced. Ticket sales were strong, and after complaints from religious groups the theatre was raided by the police, with her and the cast arrested. The rest is History...

Other equally delightful lines by Ms West:

"Is that a gun in your pocket, or are you just glad to see me?"

"Fasten your seat belt. It's going to be a bumpy night."

And my personal favourite (quote and drink): 

"I have to get out of my wet clothes and into a dry Martini."

Image result for olive martini

H. L. Mencken (1880 - 1956) - journalist, essayist, satirist, and someone else who knew what he was talking about - famously called the Martini "the only American invention as perfect as the sonnet". I rest my case.

While not having been around at the time to sample the spirit [sic!] of the age personally, from all I know it does seem that folks generally had a great time. Until it all of course ended with a big Crash, but that's another story...

Still, probably a good period to be alive. And "All That Jazz" playing out in spite of Prohibition kicking off on the first day of that decade. Or rather, as it turned out, probably because of it. Never in the field of human consumption was so much drunk by so many people in such a short period of time. It lasted until December 1933.

Well, one hundred years on, no such counter-productive spoilsport legislation standing in our way to inebriation. Humanity has evidently progressed.

Instead, we now rely on our own good sense, rigid self-restraint, and enlightened health consciousness. And when those are still not enough, having learned from failed Prohibition, other mechanisms and processes have been developed. Ever heard of "Nudging"?

But certainly not something to be further elaborated here and now, if only out of deeply held respect for Ms West and not to jinx our own coming Twenties!

There is one other silly custom, however, we should aim to jettison altogether in the course of the next ten years, our self-Prohibition.

You have guessed what I am referring to - that misguided impulse known to all of us, induced by bouts of bad conscience, occasional or habitual, making us commit to an altogether more wholesome lifestyle, unrealistically and against better knowledge. A ritual to be observed most frequently on that magical date, 1 January, but occurring on the other days throughout the year as well. Either way, these self-imposed regimes tend to have a short shelf life, doomed from the beginning.

Which begs the question, in the interest of a fun decade, why go through the motions in the first place. Right?!

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I spent the New Year holidays in what its residents call "Upper Left, USA" - Washington State, with an add-on visit to Portland, Oregon. And I do encourage you to take Amtrak from Seattle to go there! 

Viewed from the other 49 States, it is probably the most "liberal", in the American sense of the term, place in the Union (sorry, Californians). The locals celebrate this reputation by espousing the patriotic slogan, "Keep Portland Weird" - as good a USP as you will find. Unrelated, a very useful note to visitors: The State does not levy any Sales Tax. Nothing weird about this in my view. So shop 'til you drop!


Even more importantly, this is the home of craft beer brewing, and on many street corners in this altogether delightful town you will find a small brewery and its adjoined outlet. In addition to their delicious tastes, these beers tend to have very imaginative, often humorous names. A couple of days into the new year I sampled one that I liked especially.

It was called "Abandoned Resolutions". A man of my word, I had more than one and made sure to get a promising head start to the new decade.

What a great way to say "hello" to our Twenties!

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"Blogging is akin to taking dope. The more I blog, the more I like it."

In memoriam Harold Burson (1921 - 2020)

























Sunday, January 22, 2017

Hail Mary

I don't know how you feel about the times we live in, the developments we are exposed to, and the unfolding spectacles we witness. My default reaction these days: It's all too much.


Which is why I have found it very difficult over the past months to write anything here, let alone to publish it - just in case you were wondering, Constant Reader.

I am now encouraged to resume my blogging by good friends who are generous enough to claim they miss reading my ramblings. So, Gary, Graham, and Nick - this one is for you!

But then, what better week to confront my demons than this - book-ended as it is by the unelected UK Prime Minister's speech on what "Brexit means Brexit" actually does mean on Tuesday and the U.S. President-Elect's (now President's) inauguration on Friday. 

But since everything there is to say on both has been said, and by experts (less popular though they are these days, at least in Little Britain), commentators, and pundits much more knowledgeable than your author, I would love to be able to steer clear of adding my views on Theresa May and Donald Trump. Plus, it's such a beautiful day...

This exercise in self-discipline is not going to be easy, and at the outset I can't really promise I will see it through. In fact, I know I will not - as do you.

It does remind me of a song dating all the way back to 1929 (when it was first recorded and performed, long even before my time, by one Nick Lucas) that then became a one-hit wonder success for Tiny Tim (1932 - 1996) in 1968: "Come tip-toe through the tulips with me." Tiny Tim? Ring a bell? Yes - a character in Charles Dickens' A Christmas Carol (1843).


Tiny Tim, born Herbert B. Khaury, was an American singer of Russian-Lebanese descent. He became famous for three things: his hair, his ukelele, and his falsetto voice. His stage name was ironic - he was tall (1.85m) but gangly. He was married three times, and had one daughter, born 1971 and named, you've guessed it, Tulip Victoria Khaudry. - The latest recording of "Tip-Toe Through the Tulips" is as recent as 2013 when Haruomi Hosono released a cover version... in Japanese!

Just for fun, here are three other singers with names referring to their built: Fats Domino (born 1928: "Blueberry Hill", "I'm Walkin'", "Whole Lotta Lovin'"); Little Richard (born 1932: "Tutti Frutti", "Slippin' and Slidin'", "Good Golly Miss Molly"); and, of course, the great Meat Loaf (born 1947: "Bat Out of Hell"; "I'd Do Anything for Love"; "Two Out of Three Ain't Bad" - and many, many more, including a fantastic cover version of Literature Nobel Prize laureate Bob Dylan's "Forever Young").


May your hands always be busy
May your feet always be swift
May you have a strong foundation
When the winds of changes shift

May your heart always be joyful
May your song always be sung
And may you stay
Forever young


Which sums up just about everything we can and should wish each other and, importantly, wish our children - not just on that artificial occasion at midnight on 31 December.

And that's why Bob Dylan was finally awarded the Nobel Prize for Literature in 2016, one of the very few good things to have come out of that year if you ask me.



Speaking of music: A year ago, on 18 January 2016, Glenn Frey died, aged only 67.

I was fortunate enough to see and hear his close friend, congenial soul mate, creative alter ego Don Henley live last summer in what was his first solo concert since Frey's death. A very touching experience that I admit brought tears to my eyes when Henley performed some of the countless Eagles classics. But then, I'm a sentimental soul.

In an interview with Rolling Stone magazine three weeks earlier, Henley had confirmed the dissolution of the band. No more Eagles.

Take It Easy, Glenn. I'll see you on that corner in Winslow, Arizona!

And here's to the memory of Natalie Cole, David Bowie, Prince, Leonard Cohen, George Michael, Rick Parfitt, and many many others whose songs have accompanied us through our lives, in good times and bad.

So let's once and for all bid farewell to a true annus horribilis.




I couldn't resist. What a great visualisation of a sentiment shared by many (not all, admittedly). The stuff you find on social media...



But life must be lived forward while understood only looking back, a wise saying goes. As the great F. Scott Fitzgerald (1896 - 1940) wrote in the closing lines of his masterpiece, The Great Gatsby: "So we beat on, boats against the current, borne back ceaselessly into the past."

Don't wait anymore for The Great American Novel - it's been written and was published in 1925. Just take my word for it, expert or not.

F. Scott Fitzgerald on writing (a mere selection of three quotes):

"Show me a hero, and I'll write you a tragedy."

"Cut out all the exclamation points. An exclamation point is like laughing at your own joke."

"You don't write because you want to say something. You write because you have something to say."

We should all observe that last principle.

F. Scott Fitzgerald finished only four novels, along with a number of short stories. He died young, aged 44. He is generally considered one of the greatest writers of the 20th century.

He is also a member of what has been called the "Lost Generation", those that came of age during World War I. Among them were literary giants like Ernest Hemingway, T. S. Eliot, James Joyce, Sherwood Anderson, John dos Passos, John Steinbeck, and William Faulkner - to name just a few.

Will future historians and sociologists identify a new Lost Generation in those that came of age in our time? And asking the question is not scaremongering.

For the first time since World War II at least, in the western world it is no longer a foregone conclusion that the children will be better off than their parents - far from it. The world we leave them is nothing to be all that proud of. In this context, voting for Brexit and electing Donald Trump clearly reflect a deep sense of frustration in wide parts of our societies.

Paul Ryan, the Republican Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives and no supporter of the election winner, summed up admirably what carried Trump to the White House: "He heard a voice nobody else heard." But that was the voice of those who should be getting ready to pass on the ball to the next generations, their children and grandchildren. And then graciously step out of their way:

It's your world now, use well the time
Be part of something good, leave something good behind
The curtain falls, I take my bow
That's how it's meant to be, it's your world now
It's your world now, it's your world now

The Eagles, "It's Your World Now" (Long Road Out of Eden, 2007)

This is the final song on the second of two discs of the Eagles' last album. It was written and sung by Glenn Frey. 

So was what they chose to do instead in reality an expression of their own helplessness, a desperate last-moment attempt at reversing the trends of their own lifetime and thereby preventing the creation of a Lost Generation?


In American football, this is called a "Hail Mary" pass: With the clock running down, and out of options, the Quarterback throws the ball downfield over 50, 60, 70 yards or more, in the hope somebody up front will catch it for a game-clinching Touchdown. The term became popular after a December 28, 1975 play-off game between the Dallas Cowboys and the Minnesota Vikings when Dallas Quarterback Roger Staubach, a Roman Catholic, said in an interview about his game-winning long Touchdown pass, "I closed my eyes and said a Hail Mary."


Unsurprisingly, the chance of a receiver actually catching such a ball is statistically very small. It's nothing but a last-ditch effort with little chance of success.

But it's not all doom and gloom everywhere. Some would have had cause for celebrations this week. Whether they actually did or not, I don't know. I would have.

For instance, the small but delightful nation of Slovenia, a proud and reliable member of the European Union, had every reason to party, politics aside, having peacefully taken the White House in the person of Melania, the new First Lady of the United States (aka FLOTUS). - Please bear with me: according to the archives, this photo of her was taken on my birthday in 2016.

Married on 22 January 2005, she and POTUS have one son together, Barron William Trump, born 20 March 2006. He's the poor kid that almost fell asleep on his feet when he had to stand on a stage, way past his bedtime, to witness Dad's acceptance speech in the early hours of 9 November 2016. This time, Barron was awake.

More than that: Barron was the star of the show if you ask me. A tall ten-year-old taking it all in his stride and having a good time, if a tad bored and distracted at times, but who could blame him - it did go on a bit. To me, he is now the mascot of Team Trump. And remarkably, for the first time in 54 years the nation has a First Son again in the White House - it's all been girls lately. Barron's "predecessor", of course, was "John John", John F. Kennedy, Jr, born 1960, who sadly died in an airplane crash in 1999.



Melania by the way has taken the brave decision to stay in New York City with Barron for the first months of her husband's Presidency so that their son can finish the academic year at his present school. This is a very good principle, the call of a responsible parent. So, I've decided I like Melania.

But then, Trump Tower on 5th Avenue is not exactly a dump, and it is home. And Melania may well be a little overawed at the prospect of residing at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue NW, Washington, DC 20500, aka the White House, something she surely never ever saw coming. She should, however, not wait too long with moving in as otherwise all the rooms may have been taken by her husband's sprawling family from his previous two marriages. What a retinue.

So, will those "Hail Mary" passes succeed? It's very early days, especially of course for the 45th POTUS, but I wouldn't necessarily bet on it.

On 23 June, the day of the fateful Brexit vote, the Pound Sterling was worth 1.30 Euros.

As I am writing this, it stands at 1.15 Euros. That's a drop by 11.5 percent. Against the U.S. Dollar, it's gone down by 17 percent.


That's bad for UK imports, so prices will rise, and for British holiday makers abroad. In theory, it's good for exports of course, making goods from the UK cheaper, but then - what does the Prime Minister's new World Champion of Trade actually sell?

This is from The Telegraph, one of the staunchest Brexit supporters in the media, so not suspicious of being anti-May, anti-Johnson, anti-Davis, anti-Fox.

Meanwhile, the financial services industry plans to move thousands of jobs from London's City to locations in the EU - Paris, Luxembourg, Frankfurt.

So, a new Lost Generation paying dearly for their parents' and grandparents' failure to win the football game while there was still time and then resorting to that desperate last-moment "Hail Mary" pass?

The future, of course, will tell. And famously, it is one of the most difficult things to predict.

But the question must be asked.

Contrary to the British, the Americans at least will have the opportunity in four years' time to make amends and elect a new President, in case Number 45 will not have worked out. They can act should they feel Buyer's Remorse.

A number of folks over there who still haven't got over the election result are predicting "he won't last the first four years". Again, I wouldn't bet money on it. Statistically, the likelihood is firmly in "Hail Mary" territory as there has only been one in 44 American Presidents since 1789 who had to leave the office prematurely for reasons other than death.

The stuff of pub quiz questions: Who was it?

The hapless Richard Milhouse Nixon of course (Number 37) who stumbled over the Watergate scandal and resigned on 9 August 1974.

If so inclined, check out the whole story. To this day, regardless of the merits of the case itself, it continues to be a prime example of how NOT to manage a crisis.

To say Trump starts the job with a lot of credit and confidence of the American people in his ability to do it well would be a gross overstatement - as outrageous as many of his own pronouncements over the past months and in his Inauguration Speech. "American carnage"? Really?

In fact, he enters the White House with the lowest ever approval ratings for an incoming President. At 70 years of age, he is also the oldest, but I'm not sure how relevant this is, except that it's strange the 320 million Americans couldn't come up with anyone younger. Hillary Clinton is 69.

Of course we wish everybody good health, including and not least POTUS, whoever it may be, but again, the question must be asked in the context of what kind of a person the Vice President is - famously, only one heartbeat away from the Oval Office. If nothing else, Mike Pence at least looked the part.

Which brings me neatly to my hero Joe Biden, the outgoing Vice President who I still believe would have beaten both Clinton and Trump and made a great President himself. That said, he is 74. I rest my case.

But I do recommend you read this piece from The New York Times:

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/01/17/magazine/joe-biden-i-wish-to-hell-id-just-kept-saying-the-exact-same-thing.html?emc=edit_ta_20170117&nlid=48122091&ref=cta&_r=0

What did Barack Obama say about his Vice President when he surprised him at what was deemed to be a farewell press conference by bestowing on him the Presidential Medal of Freedom, with distinction, the highest civilian award the United States, on 12 January 2017: "As good a man as God ever made." And: "The best Vice President this country has ever had."




And to him belonged for me the most telling, touching, and memorable closing image of the whole Inauguration Ceremony. While Barack and Michelle Obama flew out by helicopter, Joe and Jill Biden got into a car and were driven to Washington's Union Station. His famous final scene was on the platform, carrying his own overnight bag, and boarding a train.

That train took him back home to Wilmington, Delaware. He has been commuting for 44 years - some 8,000 three-hour round trips. The United States' 47th Vice President Joseph Robinette Biden, Jr. goes by the nickname of "Amtrak Joe".

Please check out why - it's a story of love, responsibility, and dedication. It's also one I have written about here before.

So, out with the old and in with the new. Change, let's be honest about it, can be good. But psychologists will tell you people don't tend to embrace it. To seek it proactively, they must feel things are pretty bad. And like the Quarterback, at his wits' end, resort to the "Hail Mary".

It's ironic Barack Obama campaigned and was elected on this theme: "Change will not come if we wait for some other person or some other time. We are the ones we've been waiting for. We are the change that we seek."

Make of it what you will, but what an about-turn within eight years - with Change ironically being the common theme.

Little Britain's Brexiteers are now jubilant that their Prime Minister will be the first foreign head of government to visit the new President. They are waxing lyrical about how she will be the "Maggie" [Thatcher] to his own Ronald Reagan.

"Maggie May"

A great song by Rod Stewart - and no, the lyrics are for once not in any way pertinent, relevant, or applicable. Just the name in the title.

Having trampled rather than tip-toed through the tulips up to here, I may as well end on the theme of "Special Relationships", namely the one between POTUS Nr 44 and the German Chancellor.

We have forgotten they did not hit it off straight away.

Dr Angela Merkel was anything but amused that Barack Obama chose to hold a mass election campaign rally in Berlin on 24 July 2008 - when he was nothing more than the first-time junior Senator for Illinois and Presidential nominee of the Democratic Party.

The German Chancellor would not permit him to erect his podium, presidential-style, with the Brandenburg Gate as backdrop, instead "relegating" his open-air, rock concert type event to the Strasse des 17. Juni, the wide avenue linking the Brandenburg Gate with the gold-topped Victory column at the other end, which traditionally serves as the venue for the Love Parade music festival and mass viewings of the German team's games during the football World Cup and European Championship tournaments.  An estimated 200,000-strong crowd came and cheered enthusiastically, providing priceless TV images for his audiences back home.


Here are some of the things the man who was to be elected a few months later said on that day: Listing major global problems, he postulated, "No one nation, no matter how large and how powerful, can defeat such challenges alone." He expressed his belief in "allies who will listen to each other, who will learn from each other, who will, above all, trust each other." Rhetorically, he asked, "Will we reject torture and stand for the rule of law?" And, poignantly, "Will we welcome immigrants from different lands?"

Finally, on the threat of climate change: "This is the moment we must come together to save this planet."

Obama's successor, President Donald Trump, in a nutshell: "America First!"

After a rocky start to their relationship, over the eight years of his Presidency, Merkel became Obama's closest partner, most important international ally, and, from all we know, personal friend. Unsurprisingly therefore, she was the last person he called before leaving Office (and the Oval Office).

I don't know if Barack Obama is a fan of Star Trek. But I can well imagine his farewell words to her may have been: "Live long and prosper!" I hope she does.

Declaration of interest: The following is taken from the Facebook page of my daughter, Greta. She published it without knowing I was writing this blog post.


The quote Greta chose, "You're better than the whole damn bunch put together", is of course from The Great Gatsby.